Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.677961 4.393644 5.192009 6.145775 7.251180 8.488906 9.976484
2025-08-17 2.537543 3.418071 4.504587 5.932355 7.746195 9.959511 12.848771
2025-08-24 1.927218 2.870373 4.135166 5.929992 8.381340 11.577948 16.020517
2025-08-31 1.527107 2.483303 3.861120 5.947938 8.975066 13.142924 19.235343
2025-09-07 1.220698 2.151438 3.582789 5.880287 9.393934 14.464470 22.203245
2025-09-14 0.948452 1.807635 3.214263 5.599695 9.432351 15.208133 24.377028
2025-09-21 0.787411 1.610610 3.035883 5.573010 9.828310 16.484626 27.411749
2025-09-28 0.659677 1.443789 2.875338 5.541970 10.195816 17.728469 30.476676
2025-10-05 0.608561 1.410070 2.939664 5.897786 11.230872 20.105202 35.496699
2025-10-12 0.542747 1.332752 2.909366 6.074872 11.968530 22.046107 39.947842
2025-10-19 0.495027 1.283297 2.923004 6.330338 12.862666 24.309952 45.086165
2025-10-26 0.429309 1.179826 2.811612 6.328037 13.279600 25.776933 48.968595
2025-11-02 0.352164 1.034219 2.592917 6.090766 13.243995 26.469226 51.612952
2025-11-09 0.289808 0.909768 2.398543 5.875382 13.224405 27.184630 54.350078
2025-11-16 0.251341 0.837898 2.310203 5.871940 13.621465 28.693390 58.617829
2025-11-23 0.219710 0.776821 2.236532 5.889401 14.059379 30.307272 63.183050
2025-11-30 0.188465 0.708467 2.132664 5.822240 14.308430 31.568807 67.162717
2025-12-07 0.152982 0.616547 1.951028 5.544076 14.067440 31.835954 69.244430
2025-12-14 0.132870 0.568584 1.877312 5.517617 14.379327 33.235865 73.621348
2025-12-21 0.115429 0.524509 1.806101 5.486847 14.675985 34.622034 78.053945
2025-12-28 0.111833 0.529992 1.878929 5.839545 15.899904 38.035309 86.779706
2026-01-04 0.103221 0.513973 1.885062 6.015087 16.717167 40.634327 93.984979
2026-01-11 0.097332 0.507132 1.918244 6.268335 17.744713 43.752607 102.437483